The
Price of the Future
by Bill
Gates
The
internet promises to revolutionize how people shop and how
prices are set. Usually this will mean smaller margins for
sellers as consumers comparison shop in highly efficient marketplaces.
But sometimes sellers will find ways to charge moreat
least to certain customers and for certain products.
I use the term friction-free
capitalism to describe a marketplace where buyers and sellers
have almost perfect knowledge of the true supply and demand for
a particular product. The Internet is moving us in this direction.
Since friction-free capitalism will cause more products to become
commodities, use flexible pricing and marketing strategies.
Commodity
Markets
Most products are commodities
on one level or another, and consumers have abundant choices. To
the extent that a product is a commodity, consumers get better buys
as the marketplace becomes more efficient.
The Internet is accelerating
the trend toward efficient markets. People can readily browse from
retailer to retailer. Over time, software will automate the process
of comparison shopping, and haggling over prices will
become electronic and effortless.
Will people who dont
shop for low prices get them anyway? Sometimes they wont.
Sellers will use technology to extract the highest price they can
from a shopper, especially if the goods or services arent
commodities. Flexible prices are a fixture of the marketplace. Many
electronic and appliance stores advertise price guarantees in which
they promise to match the lowest price a consumer has identified.
This lets them say they wont be undersold, even if their marked
prices are relatively high.
Some department stores
run so many sales that there are really two prices for most itemsthe
regular price for the typical shopper and the sale price for the
patient shopper. Airlines and hotels extract as much as they can
for seats or rooms booked at the last minute.
When auto dealers show
a sticker price but entertain lower offers from price-sensitive
consumers, they are setting different prices for different consumers.
Direct-mail marketers often publish different prices in different
catalogs. When you call to order, the sales representative first
asks for your customer number or catalog numberoften so that
the company knows what to charge you.
The goal of these pricing
strategies is to capture the low-margin business of price-sensitive
shoppers, while harvesting higher margins from sales to other shoppers.
These techniques are fairly crude, however, next to what the Internet
will make possible.
Interactive technology
allows sellers to know the people they are selling to. A Web site
can recognize you when you log in with a member password or if the
site reads a number it has recorded to your hard disk. These numbers,
called cookies, also enable Web sites to provide you
with personalized information and services.
If a Web site you visit
comes to know what prices you have paid in the past, it may reduce
a price to spur you to buyor raise one if your pattern suggests
that youre not price-sensitive.
Pricing strategies for
distinctive products will become interesting, as computers and the
Internet make new, profitable schemes practical. Sellers who have
something unique will discover that the efficiency of the Internet
works in their favor.
The potential of the
Internet to create nearly friction-free markets will lead to innovation
in how products are priced. Consumers will be winners most-but not
all-of the time. SME
Bill
Gates is CEO of Microsoft Corporation © Microsoft
Corporation. All rights reserved.
ACTION: Review
your pricing strategies.
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